As the Premier League heads into its climactic final 10 matches, the title race is intensely close, with Liverpool, Arsenal, and Manchester City all neck-and-neck, separated only by goal difference and a handful of points.
Despite a challenging season marred by injuries, Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool has defied expectations and is a strong contender for the championship. Klopp himself acknowledges the team’s potential, remarking on their performance and readiness to compete for the top spot.
Liverpool’s journey to the finish line is complicated by a demanding schedule across multiple competitions, necessitating a swift recovery from injuries to maintain their momentum.
The collective effort of the Liverpool squad has been the cornerstone of their campaign, and this unity will be crucial as they approach the season’s end. The question now is how Liverpool’s remaining Premier League matches stack up against those of their rivals, Arsenal and Manchester City, in this tight race for glory.
Let’s briefly survey the current standings.
Following 28 matches, Arsenal leads the league, edging out Liverpool with a goal difference advantage of +7, although both teams are neck and neck with 64 points each.
Manchester City trails just slightly with 63 points, holding the smallest goal difference among the trio, trailing Liverpool by -4 and Arsenal by -11.
The final 10
Liverpool, Arsenal, and Manchester City are all embroiled in a fierce contest for the title, with each team facing a balanced mix of home and away matches in the final stretch. A crucial clash is on the horizon as Arsenal is set to face Manchester City after the March international break, a match that guarantees a shift in points.
Breaking down the run-in for each team:
Liverpool is up against three top-six teams (Manchester United, Tottenham, and Aston Villa), five mid-table teams (Brighton, Fulham, West Ham, Crystal Palace, and Wolves), and two from the lower end of the table (Everton and Sheffield United). Based on SoccerSTATS’ analysis, Liverpool appears to have the smoothest path ahead, with their opponents averaging 1.38 points per game. Historically, Liverpool secured 23 points in the corresponding fixtures earlier in the season.
Arsenal faces a more daunting schedule, with four encounters against top-six teams (Manchester City, Tottenham, Aston Villa, and Manchester United), four against mid-table sides (Chelsea, Brighton, Wolves, and Bournemouth), and two against teams fighting relegation (Luton and Everton). SoccerSTATS indicates that Arsenal has the toughest series of matches, with their opponents holding an average of 1.64 points per game.
Manchester City has three top-six battles (Arsenal, Tottenham, and Aston Villa), five matches with mid-table clubs (Brighton, Crystal Palace, Wolves, Fulham, and West Ham), and two against teams in the relegation zone (Luton and Nottingham Forest). SoccerSTATS’ data places City with the second-easiest set of fixtures, as their opponents have an average of 1.53 points per game. In their previous meetings with these teams, City collected 17 points.
As the season heads towards its climax, the teams’ consistency and performance against these varied opponents will likely determine the ultimate victor of the Premier League crown.